Interest rate increases – Are we done yet?

Tracy Head • November 7, 2022

While many in the mortgage world anticipated rates to increase this year, I don’t think anyone expected them to increase so much and so quickly.


What we’ve seen is unprecedented. If you are in a fixed rate mortgage these rate increases won’t affect you until you reach the end of your current term. At that point you will need to carefully consider where rates are at the time and decide whether you are going to opt for a fixed rate again, and if so for how long.


If you are currently in a variable mortgage there are a couple of things that may be happening for you right now. If you are in an adjustable rate mortgage (ARM), your mortgage payment will have increased as prime has increased. That means that your remaining amortization is still on track.


It likely also means, however, you are starting to feel a pinch when making your mortgage payment. I know, I’m in an ARM and my payment has increased by more than $500 per month since March.


If you are in a variable rate mortgage (VRM), your mortgage payment will have stayed the same despite the rate increases but you are now at a tipping point, where the payment you are making may not even be covering the interest due on your mortgage. That can potentially mean either you are no longer paying down any of the principal balance or the principal balance is increasing.

That means the remaining amortization (length of time to pay off your mortgage) will be increasing as well.


For clients who are in VRMs, they are reaching what is known as the “trigger” rate (the tipping point I mentioned above). Financial institutions are starting to reach out to those clients to make alternate arrangements to make their mortgage payments.


Some of the options presented will likely include:


• Increasing your payment based on the current variable rate to bring the payment back to the point that it is paying down principal again.

• Make a lump sum payment and keep your payment the same.

• Convert to a fixed rate which will be increased to keep your amortization on track.


Whether you are in a VRM or an ARM, the increases to your mortgage payments smart.


Before you consider a knee-jerk reaction of locking into a five-year, fixed term, it is important to ask yourself why you are in a variable mortgage in the first place.


It is also important to do some serious thinking about your plans for the next few years.


While locking in for a longer term may feel attractive after how unsettling this year has been, if you are anticipating any kind of a major change to your life or your financial situation it may be a wise choice to stick with your original plan of the variable mortgage.

I am seeing a fair number of people choosing shorter, fixed terms in anticipation of rates softening again.


As a positive sign, I am starting to see rate specials posted by multiple lenders. This week, my favourite lender dropped its five-year fixed rate (for insured mortgages) from 5.84% to 5.44% and then again to 5.29%.


I think we will see rates drop a bit more before the next rate announcement on Dec. 7.


If you are struggling with the increased payments on your mortgage, I urge you to reach out to your mortgage person as soon as possible.


Lenders do not want to be in the foreclosure business, so most are open to working with their clients to find a solution that provides some relief and stability

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

GET STARTED
Woman arranging flowers on a kitchen island while a man hangs a framed picture on the wall.
By Tracy Head July 8, 2026
Don't wait until the last minute! Learn how consistent maintenance and small upgrades can ensure a quick and profitable home sale.
Two people reviewing papers outside suburban houses on a sunny street
By Tracy Head June 26, 2026
If there is one question I hear more than any other from Canadians looking to buy a home, it's this: "How much can I actually afford?" It's a great question, and frankly, it's one that deserves more attention than simply finding out the maximum mortgage amount a lender is willing to approve. While mortgage qualification guidelines provide a useful starting point, they don't always tell the whole story. The amount a lender says you can borrow and the amount you can comfortably afford are often two very different numbers. Let's start with what affects affordability. One of the biggest factors is the type and amount of income you earn. A salaried employee with a stable employment history will generally have a straightforward qualification process. However, self-employed individuals, commissioned salespeople, seasonal workers, and those with multiple income sources may qualify differently. Lenders carefully examine the stability and consistency of income when determining how much mortgage financing they are willing to provide. Consumer debt is another major factor. Credit card balances, lines of credit, car loans, personal loans, and other monthly obligations all reduce purchasing power. Every dollar committed to debt payments is a dollar that cannot be allocated toward a mortgage payment. It is not uncommon for borrowers to increase their purchasing power significantly simply by reducing or eliminating high monthly debt obligations before applying for a mortgage. The size of your down payment also plays an important role. A larger down payment reduces the amount you need to borrow and often improves your overall financial position. In some cases, a larger down payment can help borrowers qualify for homes that might otherwise be out of reach. It can also lower monthly payments and reduce the total amount of interest paid over the life of the mortgage. Of course, lenders use formulas and qualification ratios to determine affordability. These calculations consider mortgage payments, property taxes, heating costs, and other obligations. However, these formulas do not always account for the realities of everyday life. That's why I often encourage clients to think beyond what they can qualify for and focus on what they can comfortably live with. A mortgage should support your life, not control it. Many Canadians are surprised to discover that once they factor in groceries, fuel, insurance, utilities, childcare, activities for children, pet expenses, travel plans, and rising day-to-day living costs, there is less room in the monthly budget than they initially expected. Homeownership also comes with unexpected expenses. Furnaces fail. Appliances break down. Roofs need repairs. Vehicles require maintenance. Life happens. If your mortgage payment consumes every available dollar each month, even a relatively small unexpected expense can create financial stress. For this reason, I often recommend that homebuyers leave some breathing room in their budget whenever possible. Choosing a home that costs slightly less than the maximum amount you qualify for can provide flexibility and peace of mind. It allows you to continue saving for retirement, build an emergency fund, take a family vacation, or simply sleep better at night knowing you have a financial cushion. Before making an offer on a home, I encourage buyers to look at the complete monthly picture. Consider not only the mortgage payment but also property taxes, home insurance, utilities, maintenance costs, and any strata or condominium fees. Then compare those costs against your current spending habits and financial goals. The goal is not simply to buy a home. The goal is to own a home comfortably while maintaining the lifestyle and financial security that matter to you and your family. The most successful homeowners are often not the ones who borrow the most money. They're the ones who make thoughtful decisions, leave room in their budget for life's surprises, and build long-term financial stability along the way. So the next time you ask, "How much can I actually afford?" remember that the answer isn't just about what the bank will approve. It's about what allows you to enjoy your home while still enjoying your life.