Fixed or variable mortgages in a time of interest hikes

Tracy Head • October 24, 2022

Last weekend I attended the mortgage professionals conference in Vancouver. My goal was to take in as many professional development sessions as possible because I’m finding we are moving forward in a very strange interest rate environment.

Ironically, and I never thought I’d ever say this, the session I got the most from (and arguably enjoyed the most) was the presentation by Benjamin Tal. Tal is the managing director and deputy chief economist at CIBC Capital Markets Inc.


He spoke about his thoughts on our current rate environment, the forces driving the Bank of Canada’s economic policies, and where he felt rates will go.


He also spoke about the unprecedented rate hikes we’ve seen this year. The Bank of Canada is trying desperately to curb inflation and he thought the bank has gone too far and has overreached with the rate hikes this year.


I am a fan of variable rate mortgages. One of the key factors that influences this is the cost of breaking your mortgage early. If you need to pay your mortgage in full and it doesn’t make sense (or doesn’t work) to port your current mortgage, the maximum penalty you will be charged is three months’ interest.


With a fixed mortgage, the penalty to break your mortgage is normally the greater of either the interest rate differential (IRD) or three months’ interest. Investopedia.ca shows how an IRD penalty is calculated:


“An IRD weighs the contrast in interest rates between two similar interest-bearing assets. Most often it is the difference between two interest rates.”


This type of penalty can be substantial. I’m currently working with a client who is selling a luxury property whose current mortgage is up for renewal. It is a sizeable mortgage and he is understandably concerned about the volatility of mortgage interest rates right now.


I did the math for him. Had he locked into a five-year fixed-rate mortgage, based on where rates are now and the balance of his mortgage, his penalty was in the range of $32,000. The variable rate penalty, again based on today’s balance and rate, would be around $6,000. So for this particular client who is absolutely going to be selling his home in the next year the potential increase in payment due to rising rates was a far more palatable option than a penalty in the $32,000 range.


All this aside, for many Canadians in variable mortgages the incredible rate hikes we’ve seen this year make a massive dent in their monthly budget. It’s really tempting to think about locking into a fixed rate product for the stability of the payment.


One consideration is how you will feel if you lock into a rate in the mid to high five per cent range when rates start to move down again. Will you sleep better at night knowing you have the security of a fixed payment? Are you losing sleep thinking about where rates are going?


I recommend you think about why you chose variable in the first place. You likely enjoyed really low rates for the first part of your term and will very likely enjoy lower rates towards the end of your term as rates start to trend down again.


I guess I should have started with that. Tal’s take is that we are in for another significant rate hike very soon but he feels rates will stabilize next year and start trending down again towards the end of next year or early 2024.


One option is splitting the difference. There are lenders who offer true variable mortgages with a static payment. This means that regardless of where rates move your payment stays the same. I should say, it stays the same until the increase in rate means you aren’t paying enough to cover the interest due which in turn will affect your amortization.


You would have to pay a three-month interest penalty to break your current mortgage to switch to a lender that offers a static payment. Most lenders will allow you to capitalize up to $3,000 of your penalty into your new mortgage (more if you do a refinance instead of a straight switch, providing you have enough equity for this to work).


Going this route you will still enjoy the benefit of a variable rate mortgage once rates start moving down again, without worrying about potential penalties if you have to pay out your mortgage unexpectedly.


If you’d like to chat about this, and see if it’s a fit for you, I am happy to do a mortgage check-up and offer some insight.

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

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What does your mortgage broker bring to the table

By Tracy Head • August 2, 2025
What does your mortgage broker bring to the table? I love what I do. Every day I learn something new. I meet amazing people. Each day is different and knowing that what I do is important is good for my soul. I had someone call the other day to ask some questions about a pre-approval and he finished up the call with a genuine question. Why would he want to work with a mortgage broker instead of his bank? There are many ways to answer that question. This isn’t intended to be a sales job about working with me but rather with mortgage professionals in general. Before you read any further understand that working with your bank may be the easiest solution for you. There are some amazing employees within the branch system so this is not intended in any way to make light of the work they do. As licensed professionals we work with mortgages every day. Most of us seem to live and breathe mortgages all the time including evenings and weekends. For many of us our families are annoyed by the constant distraction of our work. Boundaries are important of course and some brokers work a strict schedule. Many of us do make ourselves available evenings and weekends to help our clients because not everyone has the flexibility in their workday to deal with their mortgage. We work for you rather than one specific lender or financial institution so are looking for options that fit your situation rather than making your mortgage fit within one product. One of the most important differences between working with your bank and working with a mortgage professional is options. Not every client fits a cookie cutter approach. There are some situations where clients’ income doesn’t support their application in the traditional lending world. Sometimes clients have credit challenges. Sometimes clients are looking at a unique property. Mortgage professionals have access to a wide range of lenders, some of whom offer specialty products not available at your bank. Product knowledge and expertise can be another difference. As an example I work with many clients who are self-employed. There are mortgages specifically geared for self-employed clients that are available at banks as well but often the employees are unaware of these options.  For me, the relationship I build with my clients is the main differentiator about why I say clients should work with a mortgage professional rather than their bank. I take the time to get to know my clients and their situations and longer-term goals. I will still be here when their mortgage comes up for renewal and am able to answer questions in the meantime. I’ve had many clients comment over the years how much they appreciate the personal approach rather than feeling like a number at their bank - having to start from scratch with someone new each time they need help.

A Breath Of Fresh Air

By tracy Head • July 11, 2025
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