Fixed or variable mortgages in a time of interest hikes

Tracy Head • October 24, 2022

Last weekend I attended the mortgage professionals conference in Vancouver. My goal was to take in as many professional development sessions as possible because I’m finding we are moving forward in a very strange interest rate environment.

Ironically, and I never thought I’d ever say this, the session I got the most from (and arguably enjoyed the most) was the presentation by Benjamin Tal. Tal is the managing director and deputy chief economist at CIBC Capital Markets Inc.


He spoke about his thoughts on our current rate environment, the forces driving the Bank of Canada’s economic policies, and where he felt rates will go.


He also spoke about the unprecedented rate hikes we’ve seen this year. The Bank of Canada is trying desperately to curb inflation and he thought the bank has gone too far and has overreached with the rate hikes this year.


I am a fan of variable rate mortgages. One of the key factors that influences this is the cost of breaking your mortgage early. If you need to pay your mortgage in full and it doesn’t make sense (or doesn’t work) to port your current mortgage, the maximum penalty you will be charged is three months’ interest.


With a fixed mortgage, the penalty to break your mortgage is normally the greater of either the interest rate differential (IRD) or three months’ interest. Investopedia.ca shows how an IRD penalty is calculated:


“An IRD weighs the contrast in interest rates between two similar interest-bearing assets. Most often it is the difference between two interest rates.”


This type of penalty can be substantial. I’m currently working with a client who is selling a luxury property whose current mortgage is up for renewal. It is a sizeable mortgage and he is understandably concerned about the volatility of mortgage interest rates right now.


I did the math for him. Had he locked into a five-year fixed-rate mortgage, based on where rates are now and the balance of his mortgage, his penalty was in the range of $32,000. The variable rate penalty, again based on today’s balance and rate, would be around $6,000. So for this particular client who is absolutely going to be selling his home in the next year the potential increase in payment due to rising rates was a far more palatable option than a penalty in the $32,000 range.


All this aside, for many Canadians in variable mortgages the incredible rate hikes we’ve seen this year make a massive dent in their monthly budget. It’s really tempting to think about locking into a fixed rate product for the stability of the payment.


One consideration is how you will feel if you lock into a rate in the mid to high five per cent range when rates start to move down again. Will you sleep better at night knowing you have the security of a fixed payment? Are you losing sleep thinking about where rates are going?


I recommend you think about why you chose variable in the first place. You likely enjoyed really low rates for the first part of your term and will very likely enjoy lower rates towards the end of your term as rates start to trend down again.


I guess I should have started with that. Tal’s take is that we are in for another significant rate hike very soon but he feels rates will stabilize next year and start trending down again towards the end of next year or early 2024.


One option is splitting the difference. There are lenders who offer true variable mortgages with a static payment. This means that regardless of where rates move your payment stays the same. I should say, it stays the same until the increase in rate means you aren’t paying enough to cover the interest due which in turn will affect your amortization.


You would have to pay a three-month interest penalty to break your current mortgage to switch to a lender that offers a static payment. Most lenders will allow you to capitalize up to $3,000 of your penalty into your new mortgage (more if you do a refinance instead of a straight switch, providing you have enough equity for this to work).


Going this route you will still enjoy the benefit of a variable rate mortgage once rates start moving down again, without worrying about potential penalties if you have to pay out your mortgage unexpectedly.


If you’d like to chat about this, and see if it’s a fit for you, I am happy to do a mortgage check-up and offer some insight.

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

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By Tracy Head April 2, 2026
If you’re one of the many Canadians with a mortgage renewal coming up this year, you’ve likely felt a bit of unease reading the headlines. Interest rates, inflation, global tensions—it can feel like a lot. After more than two decades in this industry, I can tell you this: uncertainty is nothing new in real estate or lending. What matters most is how you respond to it. The good news? You have more control than you might think. Let’s walk through a few practical, level-headed strategies to help you approach your renewal with confidence—rather than stress. 1. Start Early—Earlier Than You Think One of the biggest mistakes I see homeowners make is waiting for their lender’s renewal letter to arrive. By then, you’re already on their timeline—not yours. I recommend starting the conversation at least 4–6 months before your maturity date. This gives you time to explore options, secure a rate hold if available, and avoid being rushed into a decision. 2. Don’t Just Sign the Renewal Offer It may be convenient to simply sign and send back your lender’s offer—but convenience can come at a cost. In many cases, lenders don’t present their most competitive rates in renewal letters. Think of your mortgage like any other major expense: it deserves a second look. Even a small difference in rate can translate into thousands of dollars over your next term. 3. Consider Your Risk Tolerance—Not Just the Rate In uncertain times, it’s tempting to try to “time the market.” Fixed or variable? Short term or long term? These are important questions—but they shouldn’t be driven by headlines alone. Instead, ask yourself: Do I value stability and predictable payments? Am I comfortable with some fluctuation if it means potential savings? How long do I realistically plan to stay in this home? There’s no universal “best” option—only the best fit for your comfort level and financial goals. 4. Explore Shorter Terms as a Bridge Strategy With so much unpredictability in the global landscape, some homeowners are opting for shorter-term mortgages (1–3 years) as a way to “wait and see.” This can be a smart approach if you believe rates may stabilize or improve, but it’s important to weigh this against current pricing and your tolerance for future changes. Think of it less as gambling on rates—and more as maintaining flexibility. 5. Use This Opportunity to Restructure A renewal isn’t just about accepting a new rate—it’s a chance to revisit your overall strategy. You might consider: Adjusting your amortization to improve cash flow or accelerate payoff Consolidating higher-interest debt into your mortgage Adding prepayment privileges to give yourself more flexibility This is your moment to align your mortgage with your current life—not the one you had five years ago. 6. Build a Small Buffer Into Your Budget Even if you secure a great rate, it’s wise to prepare for slightly higher payments—especially if you’re coming off a historically low rate. Creating a bit of breathing room in your monthly budget can reduce stress and give you options down the road. If rates drop, you’re ahead. If they rise, you’re prepared. 7. Lean on Professional Advice The mortgage landscape has become more complex, not less. Policies shift, lender appetites change, and new products emerge. A good mortgage broker doesn’t just shop rates—they help you interpret the landscape and make decisions that suit your long-term financial well-being. At the end of the day, uncertainty doesn’t have to mean instability. With the right preparation and a thoughtful approach, your renewal can be an opportunity—not a setback. If there’s one takeaway I’d leave you with, it’s this: stay proactive, stay informed, and don’t be afraid to ask questions. You’re not just renewing a mortgage—you’re shaping your financial future.  And that’s worth doing well.
By Tracy Head March 19, 2026
Hammer, Nails… and a Mortgage That Sees Potential Over the years I’ve noticed a pattern: buyers fall into two camps. The “this house is perfect” crowd… and the “this could be perfect if we just fix a few things” crowd. Today, we’re talking about the second group—and one of the most underused tools in the Canadian mortgage world: the purchase plus improvements mortgage. What Is It (and Why Should You Care)? A purchase plus improvements mortgage lets you roll renovation costs into your mortgage at the time of purchase. Instead of draining your savings—or worse, putting renovations on a high-interest line of credit—you finance those upgrades at your mortgage rate. In plain English: you buy the house and fix it up, all in one tidy package. You get to enjoy the renovations while you live in your home, rather than scrambling to renovate or update when you are getting ready to sell. Lenders like this because you're increasing the value of the home. You should like it because you're borrowing at (usually) the cheapest rate you'll ever get. Let’s say you’ve found a home priced at $700,000. It’s solid—but a little tired. You want to: Upgrade a dated bathroom Replace an aging furnace Put on a new roof Total improvement budget: $40,000 With a purchase plus improvements mortgage, your financing is based on the “as-improved” value, meaning: Purchase price: $700,000 Improvements: $40,000 Total financed value: $740,000 Because the purchase price exceeds $500,000, the minimum down payment in Canada is not 5% flat. It’s calculated as: 5% on the first $500,000 = $25,000 10% on the remaining $240,000 = $20,000 Minimum required down payment: $49,000 Mortgage Before Insurance Total value: $740,000 Down payment: $49,000 Base mortgage: $691,000 Adding the CMHC Insurance Premium Because your down payment is under 20%, mortgage default insurance applies. At this loan-to-value (roughly 93.4%), the CMHC premium is 4%. CMHC premium: $691,000 × 4% ≈ $27,640 This premium is typically added to the mortgage, not paid upfront. Total mortgage after insurance: ≈ $712,421 What Does That Payment Look Like? Now let’s plug that into real numbers: Mortgage: $712,421 Rate: 3.99% Amortization: 25 years Estimated monthly payment: ≈ $3,750–$3,760/month (call it $3,755/month for coffee-shop accuracy). Why This Still Makes Sense Here’s where people sometimes hesitate: “Wait—I’m paying insurance and financing renovations?” Yes. And in most cases, it still works in your favour. Because: You’re financing renovations at 3.99%, not 8–10%+ You’re improving the home’s value immediately You’re avoiding the markup baked into fully renovated homes In other words, you’re not just spending money—you’re strategically improving the value of your new home. How It Actually Works Behind the Scenes Here’s the part most buyers don’t realize: You submit quotes for the renovations upfront The lender approves the total (purchase + improvements) The purchase closes as usual The renovation funds are held back by your lawyer You complete the work Funds are released once the work is verified It’s a bit of paperwork—but compared to juggling contractors and separate financing? It’s a win. Why I Recommend This More Often Than You’d Think After years in this business, I can tell you this - the “perfect home” usually comes with a premium price tag. But the “almost perfect” home? That’s where the opportunity is. With a purchase plus improvements mortgage, you can sometimes: Buy in a better neighborhood Customize the home to your taste Avoid bidding wars on fully renovated properties Finance upgrades at mortgage rates (instead of 8–10%+ elsewhere) If you’re considering this route, here’s my advice: Get detailed quotes (not ballpark guesses) Plan for a buffer—renovations love surprises Work with a broker early (this is not a last-minute add-on) And most importantly: don’t be scared of a home that needs work. Some of the best purchases I’ve seen over the years started with the phrase, “Well… it’s not perfect, but…” Final Thought A purchase plus improvements mortgage isn’t just financing—it’s strategy. It’s the difference between settling for someone else’s vision… and building your own, from day one.  And in a market like Canada’s, that kind of flexibility isn’t just nice to have—it’s powerful.