Fixed or variable mortgages in a time of interest hikes

Tracy Head • October 24, 2022

Last weekend I attended the mortgage professionals conference in Vancouver. My goal was to take in as many professional development sessions as possible because I’m finding we are moving forward in a very strange interest rate environment.

Ironically, and I never thought I’d ever say this, the session I got the most from (and arguably enjoyed the most) was the presentation by Benjamin Tal. Tal is the managing director and deputy chief economist at CIBC Capital Markets Inc.


He spoke about his thoughts on our current rate environment, the forces driving the Bank of Canada’s economic policies, and where he felt rates will go.


He also spoke about the unprecedented rate hikes we’ve seen this year. The Bank of Canada is trying desperately to curb inflation and he thought the bank has gone too far and has overreached with the rate hikes this year.


I am a fan of variable rate mortgages. One of the key factors that influences this is the cost of breaking your mortgage early. If you need to pay your mortgage in full and it doesn’t make sense (or doesn’t work) to port your current mortgage, the maximum penalty you will be charged is three months’ interest.


With a fixed mortgage, the penalty to break your mortgage is normally the greater of either the interest rate differential (IRD) or three months’ interest. Investopedia.ca shows how an IRD penalty is calculated:


“An IRD weighs the contrast in interest rates between two similar interest-bearing assets. Most often it is the difference between two interest rates.”


This type of penalty can be substantial. I’m currently working with a client who is selling a luxury property whose current mortgage is up for renewal. It is a sizeable mortgage and he is understandably concerned about the volatility of mortgage interest rates right now.


I did the math for him. Had he locked into a five-year fixed-rate mortgage, based on where rates are now and the balance of his mortgage, his penalty was in the range of $32,000. The variable rate penalty, again based on today’s balance and rate, would be around $6,000. So for this particular client who is absolutely going to be selling his home in the next year the potential increase in payment due to rising rates was a far more palatable option than a penalty in the $32,000 range.


All this aside, for many Canadians in variable mortgages the incredible rate hikes we’ve seen this year make a massive dent in their monthly budget. It’s really tempting to think about locking into a fixed rate product for the stability of the payment.


One consideration is how you will feel if you lock into a rate in the mid to high five per cent range when rates start to move down again. Will you sleep better at night knowing you have the security of a fixed payment? Are you losing sleep thinking about where rates are going?


I recommend you think about why you chose variable in the first place. You likely enjoyed really low rates for the first part of your term and will very likely enjoy lower rates towards the end of your term as rates start to trend down again.


I guess I should have started with that. Tal’s take is that we are in for another significant rate hike very soon but he feels rates will stabilize next year and start trending down again towards the end of next year or early 2024.


One option is splitting the difference. There are lenders who offer true variable mortgages with a static payment. This means that regardless of where rates move your payment stays the same. I should say, it stays the same until the increase in rate means you aren’t paying enough to cover the interest due which in turn will affect your amortization.


You would have to pay a three-month interest penalty to break your current mortgage to switch to a lender that offers a static payment. Most lenders will allow you to capitalize up to $3,000 of your penalty into your new mortgage (more if you do a refinance instead of a straight switch, providing you have enough equity for this to work).


Going this route you will still enjoy the benefit of a variable rate mortgage once rates start moving down again, without worrying about potential penalties if you have to pay out your mortgage unexpectedly.


If you’d like to chat about this, and see if it’s a fit for you, I am happy to do a mortgage check-up and offer some insight.

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

GET STARTED
A smiling couple holding a small set of house keys over an open palm
By Tracy Head July 24, 2026
One of my favourite phone calls to make is telling a client, "Congratulations! Your mortgage has been approved." It's a huge milestone and one worth celebrating. But many buyers are surprised to learn that there are still several important steps between receiving that approval and standing in the doorway of their new home with keys in hand. The final few weeks before possession can be busy, emotional, and occasionally overwhelming. Having a plan makes the process much smoother. Stay in touch with your mortgage broker. Even after financing is approved, your broker is still working behind the scenes with your lender and your lawyer to make sure everything is ready for closing. If anything changes with your employment, income, debts, or banking before possession day, let your broker know immediately. It is always better to have a conversation early than to discover a problem at the last minute. Watch for communication from your lawyer or notary. Your lawyer will contact you to schedule your signing appointment, usually several days before your possession date. Don't wait until the last minute to book this appointment, especially during busy times of the year when legal offices are handling many transactions. Your lawyer will also provide a statement showing exactly how much money you need to bring to closing. This includes your down payment (if it hasn't already been paid), closing costs, legal fees, property tax adjustments, and other applicable expenses. Be sure to ask your lawyer what form of payment they require. Most will request a bank draft or certified funds, and you'll want to allow yourself enough time to obtain those from your financial institution. Get your down payment ready. One of the most common causes of unnecessary stress is scrambling to move funds at the last minute. If your down payment is coming from investments, an RRSP through the Home Buyers' Plan, another financial institution, or the sale of another property, make sure those funds are available well before your lawyer's deadline. Some investments require several business days to redeem, and transferring money between institutions can take longer than many people expect. Arrange your insurance. Your lender will require proof that the home is insured before they release your mortgage funds. Contact your insurance broker early so there is plenty of time to arrange coverage beginning on your possession date. Book the movers sooner rather than later. Professional movers often book weeks—or even months—in advance, particularly during the busy spring and summer moving season or at month-end. Whether you're hiring movers or borrowing your friend's pickup truck, having a moving plan in place early will save you a lot of stress. Transfer your utilities. Nothing takes the excitement out of moving day quite like discovering the electricity hasn't been connected. Arrange to transfer or activate services such as electricity, natural gas, water, internet, television, garbage collection, and any security monitoring before possession day. Some providers require advance notice, so don't leave these calls until the final week. Update your address. Changing your address is one of those jobs that's easy to forget until important mail starts arriving at your old home. Take time to update your address with: Canada Post Your employer Banks and credit card companies Insurance providers CRA Your driver's licence and vehicle registration (according to your province's requirements) Medical providers Subscription services Family and friends A simple checklist can prevent a surprising number of headaches later. Don't underestimate the emotions. Buying a home is one of the largest financial decisions most Canadians will ever make. Even when everything is going perfectly, it's completely normal to experience a wide range of emotions. Excitement. Anxiety. Second-guessing. Relief. Even a little panic. I've seen first-time buyers worry they've forgotten something important. I've seen families leaving homes where they raised children feel unexpectedly emotional. I've seen retirees excited about a fresh start while also grieving the chapter they're leaving behind. These feelings are all perfectly normal. A home purchase isn't just a financial transaction—it's a life transition. Give yourself permission to feel both excited and sentimental. Both can exist at the same time. The finish line is worth it. The days leading up to possession often feel like a whirlwind of paperwork, packing boxes, phone calls, and checklists. But before long, you'll be unlocking your front door, carrying in that first box, and beginning a brand-new chapter. As mortgage brokers, we're proud to help clients secure financing. But we're just as proud to help guide them through the entire journey—from the first conversation about affordability to the moment they finally receive the keys. After all, mortgage approval isn't the end of the process.  It's the beginning of your next adventure.
Woman arranging flowers on a kitchen island while a man hangs a framed picture on the wall.
By Tracy Head July 8, 2026
Don't wait until the last minute! Learn how consistent maintenance and small upgrades can ensure a quick and profitable home sale.