Fixed or variable mortgages in a time of interest hikes

Tracy Head • October 24, 2022

Last weekend I attended the mortgage professionals conference in Vancouver. My goal was to take in as many professional development sessions as possible because I’m finding we are moving forward in a very strange interest rate environment.

Ironically, and I never thought I’d ever say this, the session I got the most from (and arguably enjoyed the most) was the presentation by Benjamin Tal. Tal is the managing director and deputy chief economist at CIBC Capital Markets Inc.


He spoke about his thoughts on our current rate environment, the forces driving the Bank of Canada’s economic policies, and where he felt rates will go.


He also spoke about the unprecedented rate hikes we’ve seen this year. The Bank of Canada is trying desperately to curb inflation and he thought the bank has gone too far and has overreached with the rate hikes this year.


I am a fan of variable rate mortgages. One of the key factors that influences this is the cost of breaking your mortgage early. If you need to pay your mortgage in full and it doesn’t make sense (or doesn’t work) to port your current mortgage, the maximum penalty you will be charged is three months’ interest.


With a fixed mortgage, the penalty to break your mortgage is normally the greater of either the interest rate differential (IRD) or three months’ interest. Investopedia.ca shows how an IRD penalty is calculated:


“An IRD weighs the contrast in interest rates between two similar interest-bearing assets. Most often it is the difference between two interest rates.”


This type of penalty can be substantial. I’m currently working with a client who is selling a luxury property whose current mortgage is up for renewal. It is a sizeable mortgage and he is understandably concerned about the volatility of mortgage interest rates right now.


I did the math for him. Had he locked into a five-year fixed-rate mortgage, based on where rates are now and the balance of his mortgage, his penalty was in the range of $32,000. The variable rate penalty, again based on today’s balance and rate, would be around $6,000. So for this particular client who is absolutely going to be selling his home in the next year the potential increase in payment due to rising rates was a far more palatable option than a penalty in the $32,000 range.


All this aside, for many Canadians in variable mortgages the incredible rate hikes we’ve seen this year make a massive dent in their monthly budget. It’s really tempting to think about locking into a fixed rate product for the stability of the payment.


One consideration is how you will feel if you lock into a rate in the mid to high five per cent range when rates start to move down again. Will you sleep better at night knowing you have the security of a fixed payment? Are you losing sleep thinking about where rates are going?


I recommend you think about why you chose variable in the first place. You likely enjoyed really low rates for the first part of your term and will very likely enjoy lower rates towards the end of your term as rates start to trend down again.


I guess I should have started with that. Tal’s take is that we are in for another significant rate hike very soon but he feels rates will stabilize next year and start trending down again towards the end of next year or early 2024.


One option is splitting the difference. There are lenders who offer true variable mortgages with a static payment. This means that regardless of where rates move your payment stays the same. I should say, it stays the same until the increase in rate means you aren’t paying enough to cover the interest due which in turn will affect your amortization.


You would have to pay a three-month interest penalty to break your current mortgage to switch to a lender that offers a static payment. Most lenders will allow you to capitalize up to $3,000 of your penalty into your new mortgage (more if you do a refinance instead of a straight switch, providing you have enough equity for this to work).


Going this route you will still enjoy the benefit of a variable rate mortgage once rates start moving down again, without worrying about potential penalties if you have to pay out your mortgage unexpectedly.


If you’d like to chat about this, and see if it’s a fit for you, I am happy to do a mortgage check-up and offer some insight.

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

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Mortgage Options

By Tracy Head • November 1, 2025
In past columns I’ve covered when no means no and when no means maybe there’s another option. There are many aspects of my work that I love. One is that I learn something new each and every day. No two clients are the same and no two applications are the same. Some are easier than others to put together. Another thing I love is that we have so many options to consider when working on our files. I do find immense satisfaction when I tackle a complicated file and find a great solution for my clients. I am working with an amazing young couple as they build their portfolio of rental properties. They are relatively young but both work incredibly hard and really have their ducks in a row. The plot twist they have is that they both transitioned from salaried positions to being self-employed over the last year. Their credit scores are both in the high 800s (900 is a perfect score), they are both making substantial income, and they have saved over $100,000 for their down payment.  Seems like a slam dunk right? Because they don’t have two years of filed tax returns as self-employed business people our options are a bit limited. There is a program we use in this situation but their scenario does not fit within the guidelines. Their dream home just came on the market so they are wanting to buy and convert their current home to a rental property. This particular home came up in the neighborhood they really want to be in, and homes don’t come up very often. It is immaculate and has a legal suite. They had originally approached their bank and been told it was a hard no. I work with their realtor fairly often and she suggested they give me a call. Within 24 hours we had the approval in place for them. We ended up taking the application to an alternative lender for a two-year term. The interest rate is about .5 per cent higher than a chartered back and there is a 1 per cent fee charged. We weighed out the pros and cons of going this route versus holding off until their next tax returns are filed before purchasing another property. After chatting with their financial advisor and accountant they felt it was worth the slightly higher interest rate to be able to buy the home now. I will say I love straightforward simple applications but in reality those are few and far between. Most of the applications I work on these days seem to have some sort of plot twist like this one so I am very grateful there are so many options available to help clients who may fall a little outside of the standard lending guidelines.

Marital Breakdown

By Tracy Head • October 18, 2025
One topic I haven’t tackled for a long time is marital breakdowns. When you are working your way through what is arguably one of the most difficult times of your adult life it’s important to know that you have options. There is a program available for refinancing your home specifically for spousal buyouts. Under this program we can refinance your home back up to 95 per cent of the value of the home and use the new funds to pay out your ex-partner and pay out marital debts (provided this is written into your separation agreement). Qualifying this to say that we can refinance to 95 per cent if the value of your home is under $500,000. If the value of your home is over $500,000 we need to ensure you have 5 per cent of the first $500,000 and 10 per cent of any value over the $500,000 left as equity in your home. It’s a small distinction but in the Okanagan the second calculation is the one I see the most. With recent changes to the First Time Home Buyer’s program we can now extend the amortization out as far as 30 years if needed to make the numbers work. It is important to note that this program is an insured program meaning that a premium is added to your mortgage so its important that you work with someone who is familiar with this program. You will require a finalized separation agreement to refinance to pay out the other party.  If you have significant equity in your home and we can make the numbers work a traditional refinance is also an option. In this case we can only increase your mortgage to 80 per cent of the value of your home but there is no default insurance premium required so this is usually the preferable option. A question to ask yourself is whether it makes sense to refinance your current home or to sell and buy a new home. The list of pros and cons will be different for each person, but one of the most important things to consider is whether or not you can afford the higher mortgage payment on your own to stay put. Also key to consider is whether or not you need the same space or whether downsizing might be another option. Do you have children that you want to keep in the same area and same school? Is your current home in a convenient location for work, school, and social activities? Or are you needing a fresh start somewhere new? If you find yourself in this situation and are considering your options with respect to refinancing your home I encourage you to reach out to a professional that can help you take a good hard look at your situation. Doing a bit of legwork upfront may help relieve at least one part of the mental load as you work your way through a separation or divorce.