Fixed versus Variable

Tracy Head • September 9, 2024

One of the questions I am most often asked is “should I take a fixed or a variable rate”?

My answer to this question is different for each client.


My answer to this question may change based on the interest rate environment.

The last few years have been sobering to say the least. We were riding the high of historically low fixed interest rates and beginning to see them as the norm. 


Where interest rates are sitting now (mid four to five per cent) is closer to the average interest rate Canadians have paid over the last twenty years.


This week I attended a learning event and the economist that presented to the group spoke the words we have all been waiting to hear. He did qualify his thoughts with the comment that no one has a crystal ball and we’ve all seen what can happen with Bank of Canada monetary policy.

What he did say is that he feels we will see prime rate drop 1.25 to 1.5 per cent over the next year.


What does that mean in dollars and cents?


As an example, if your mortgage is $500,000 and your variable rate mortgage is priced at prime less 1.05 per cent, if prime drops one per cent this means your payment will be $283.28 per month lower.

This math applies if your variable rate mortgage has a payment that changes every month. If your variable mortgage has a static payment (payment that does not change to follow changes in prime) your payment stays the same but more money goes towards the principal instead of interest.

So it seems like variable is the obvious choice if you are finalizing your mortgage right now. 


But it may not be. 


Circling back to where I said each client has a unique set of circumstances, variable may not be the best option. 


Fixed rates for insured mortgages are hovering around 4.59 per cent (some lenders lower, some higher). For clients that are pushing to qualify for the maximum purchase price they can the one per cent difference between fixed and variable rates absolutely affects their borrowing power.


Lets say we are working with a family earning $120,000 annually. When we calculate their maximum purchase price using the minimum down payment and assuming $3,000 a year for property taxes here is the difference:

  • Using a fixed rate of 4.59 per cent we are looking at a purchase price of $525,000
  • Using a variable rate of prime less .95 per cent (5.49 per cent) we are looking at $475,000


Another consideration before choosing fixed or variable is individual risk tolerance. Do you have room in your budget if rates trend up instead of down that you will not be stressing if prime does increase?

Exit strategy is yet another thing to consider. With variable mortgages the maximum penalty you will pay if you pay your mortgage in full early is three months’ interest whereas with a fixed rate mortgage you will pay the greater of three months’ interest or your lender’s interest rate differential calculation. There can be quite a spread between the two.


If you are planning to pay off your mortgage in the next few years variable may be the route to go strictly for that reason.


And if you opt to choose a variable rate mortgage then decide you are not comfortable with potential changes, or if a few years in the fixed rates are far more attractive you can convert from a variable to a fixed rate mortgage. Win-win.


Deciding whether to go fixed or variable is absolutely an individual decision for all of the reasons above.


When the economist was asked whether he would choose a fixed or a variable mortgage himself right now there was no hesitation whatsoever. 


“Variable all day long” was his answer.



It will be interesting to see where rates are a year from now.

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

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By Tracy Head May 19, 2025
I know this is a dumb question but ….  I should probably know this already …. I’m sorry to ask so many questions but …. So many times clients start out with one of these statements. They feel like they should have a better understanding of the mortgage process or terminology. The truth is that buying a home is not a simple journey. Applying for a mortgage is not a cake walk. And even if you’ve been through the process in the past the goal posts seem to move faster than you can keep up. One of the reasons I love (most days) my work is that I am able to spend as much time as I need with my clients helping them understand their financing. When I worked for one of the chartered banks in a previous life I was so tightly scheduled that when our time was up that was it. Someone else had an appointment that I needed to be on time for. Clients have different learning and communication styles. Some come well-versed and understand the mortgage process; others have not done any research and need a lot of hand-holding. My goal is to make sure that by the time they are signing their legal paperwork in front of their lawyer my clients understand the decisions they have made and the rationale behind them. Whether it is the first time you are buying a home or you are looking to refinance your current mortgage it is important that you find a professional to work with that is patient and non-judgmental. In a beautiful world you connect with someone that has bought and sold a few of their own homes and has been working in the mortgage world for a while. It can feel very intimidating to bare your soul to a complete stranger. We often don’t share details of our finances with anyone except our banker / spouse and in some cases I find clients may feel embarrassed about the state of their finances. We see via social media others living lavish lifestyles and somehow feel we should be doing the same. The bottom line is that whether this is your first plunge into the homeownership pool or you are a veteran in the market, it is so important to connect with someone that takes the time to understand your situation and your goals. Knowing your long-term plan and how you handle your finances can help your mortgage professional set you up for success. Please please please make sure you ask all of the questions, even if you think you should know that answers. Guessing that you understand something or bluffing without listening to your mortgage professional’s advice can cause unnecessary grief down the road.
By Tracy Head May 5, 2025
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