Fixed versus Variable

Tracy Head • September 9, 2024

One of the questions I am most often asked is “should I take a fixed or a variable rate”?

My answer to this question is different for each client.


My answer to this question may change based on the interest rate environment.

The last few years have been sobering to say the least. We were riding the high of historically low fixed interest rates and beginning to see them as the norm. 


Where interest rates are sitting now (mid four to five per cent) is closer to the average interest rate Canadians have paid over the last twenty years.


This week I attended a learning event and the economist that presented to the group spoke the words we have all been waiting to hear. He did qualify his thoughts with the comment that no one has a crystal ball and we’ve all seen what can happen with Bank of Canada monetary policy.

What he did say is that he feels we will see prime rate drop 1.25 to 1.5 per cent over the next year.


What does that mean in dollars and cents?


As an example, if your mortgage is $500,000 and your variable rate mortgage is priced at prime less 1.05 per cent, if prime drops one per cent this means your payment will be $283.28 per month lower.

This math applies if your variable rate mortgage has a payment that changes every month. If your variable mortgage has a static payment (payment that does not change to follow changes in prime) your payment stays the same but more money goes towards the principal instead of interest.

So it seems like variable is the obvious choice if you are finalizing your mortgage right now. 


But it may not be. 


Circling back to where I said each client has a unique set of circumstances, variable may not be the best option. 


Fixed rates for insured mortgages are hovering around 4.59 per cent (some lenders lower, some higher). For clients that are pushing to qualify for the maximum purchase price they can the one per cent difference between fixed and variable rates absolutely affects their borrowing power.


Lets say we are working with a family earning $120,000 annually. When we calculate their maximum purchase price using the minimum down payment and assuming $3,000 a year for property taxes here is the difference:

  • Using a fixed rate of 4.59 per cent we are looking at a purchase price of $525,000
  • Using a variable rate of prime less .95 per cent (5.49 per cent) we are looking at $475,000


Another consideration before choosing fixed or variable is individual risk tolerance. Do you have room in your budget if rates trend up instead of down that you will not be stressing if prime does increase?

Exit strategy is yet another thing to consider. With variable mortgages the maximum penalty you will pay if you pay your mortgage in full early is three months’ interest whereas with a fixed rate mortgage you will pay the greater of three months’ interest or your lender’s interest rate differential calculation. There can be quite a spread between the two.


If you are planning to pay off your mortgage in the next few years variable may be the route to go strictly for that reason.


And if you opt to choose a variable rate mortgage then decide you are not comfortable with potential changes, or if a few years in the fixed rates are far more attractive you can convert from a variable to a fixed rate mortgage. Win-win.


Deciding whether to go fixed or variable is absolutely an individual decision for all of the reasons above.


When the economist was asked whether he would choose a fixed or a variable mortgage himself right now there was no hesitation whatsoever. 


“Variable all day long” was his answer.



It will be interesting to see where rates are a year from now.

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

GET STARTED
By Tracy Head August 27, 2025
Does an early renewal make sense? 2020 was a very busy year for home buying and mortgages. This means that 2025 is and has been a busy year for mortgage renewals as the majority of clients seemed to choose five year terms in 2020. I’ve had lots of conversations with my own and new clients about whether it makes sense to renew early. Each conversation is slightly different based on client needs and their individual circumstances. Most of the time I suggest that clients stay with their current lenders until their renewal dates because their current interest rates are anywhere between 1.6 per cent and 2.79 per cent. If you don’t need to make any immediate changes it makes the most financial sense to stay put until your term runs out. We can start the process of either switching or refinancing mortgages four months ahead of your renewal date and lock in a rate for you. As a generalization, when people ask about doing a straight switch (not adding any money to their mortgage) I will do a survey of what interest rates are available so they can go back to their lender to try to negotiate a great rate. Time and time again I’ve worked with clients on switches for them to cancel at the last minute as their current lender finally sharpens the pencil rather than lose the client. This is why I always try to help people negotiate with their current lender rather than put everyone through the work of having a new mortgage approved. If clients are wanting to add money to their mortgage to pay out consumer debt or pay for home renovations that changes things a bit. Some lenders are more aggressive with their refinance rates so it makes sense to make a move. Another situation has popped up this week that has had me crunching numbers for multiple clients. One of my favorite lenders came out with a quick-close rate special that is pretty hard to pass up. The fine print is that the new mortgage has to finalize within thirty days. I have been working on a refinance at renewal for clients that is set to close at the beginning of November. I took a look at how their current lender calculates the payout penalty when they are this close to renewal. It turns out they charge daily interest instead of a three-month interest penalty or interest rate differential. So I did the math. If we pay out early to take advantage of this great interest rate their payout penalty is around the $1000 mark. Over the term of the new mortgage they will save approximately $5500 in interest cost and their monthly payment will be about $85 per month less. Even after they pay out the penalty to move a bit early they will still be $4500 ahead over the term of their mortgage. This is one of the few times I’ve recommended that it makes sense to move forward ahead of the renewal date.  If you have a renewal coming up over the next few months I’d say it’s a good idea to connect with your mortgage person to look at what rates are available now and figure out whether it makes sense to consider making a move sooner rather than later. Lenders will pop up with rate specials from time to time so it is worth having your mortgage professional keep an eye open for you as your renewal date comes closer. It may just save you a significant amount of money.
By Tracy Head August 11, 2025
Last week was a vivid reminder of the importance of finalizing your home insurance as soon as you are within thirty days of your closing date on a home purchase. I had three clients with purchases closing on the Friday after the fire broke out in Peachland. All three had to push their closing dates back because they couldn’t get their insurance in place due to an active fire. Thinking about this led me to consider a few of the key steps involved when purchasing a home. I’ve written about this in prior columns but I feel a reminder is never a bad idea. There are a few areas of crossover between the guidance your realtor gives you and the advice you receive from your mortgage person. When your realtor writes your purchase contract there are some standard conditions that are added to the agreement. You will generally see the following: Subject to the purchaser obtaining satisfactory mortgage financing Subject to the purchaser having a home inspection conducted Subject to the purchaser arranging home insurance Subject to review of strata documents if applicable Subject to the sale of the purchasers’ current home if applicable The financing end is obviously our responsibility. I do double-check with my clients that they have taken care of the other conditions. Most realtors are great at offering support to their clients with respect to addressing the relevant conditions. In some cases I feel like realtors tell clients the steps they need to take but my guess is that the whole process can feel or become overwhelming. Before I give my clients the ok to remove their financing subject I confirm that they have taken care of the home insurance as this is one piece they sometimes miss.  If you are going through the process of purchasing a home my suggestion is keep a notebook (aging myself by suggesting a paper version) or a list on your phone to keep track of your must-do tasks as you go through the process. I have a checklist that I’m happy to share if you would like a copy.